Entries by Simon Lack

Revising The Gas Outlook Higher

SL Advisors Talks Markets
SL Advisors Talks Markets
Revising The Gas Outlook Higher



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Natural gas prices have been recovering in the US following several months below $2 per Million BTUs (MMBTU). The techniques of horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing (“fracking”) have enjoyed steady improvement, allowing break-evens to fall. An additional factor has been associated gas from the Permian in west Texas. E&P companies want oil but they get […]

What’s Next For NextDecade?

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SL Advisors Talks Markets
What’s Next For NextDecade?



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NextDecade (NEXT) has drawn plenty of investor questions over the past ten days. It began with their most recent 10Q, filed with the SEC on May 13th. The phrase, “… there is substantial doubt about the Company’s ability to continue as a going concern.” wasn’t pleasant reading for many. How can a company that reached […]

The Inflationary Energy Transition

SL Advisors Talks Markets
SL Advisors Talks Markets
The Inflationary Energy Transition



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Ominously for President Biden, opinion polls consistently show voters are unhappy with his economic stewardship. The surge in inflation in 2022 didn’t help, but after believing it to be transitory the Fed responded and it’s now back down. Wednesday’s 3.4% CPI figure isn’t yet at the Fed’s 2% target but is close enough that the […]

A Concentrated Bet On Renewables Stumbles

SL Advisors Talks Markets
SL Advisors Talks Markets
A Concentrated Bet On Renewables Stumbles



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Costa Rica, a central American country of five million, has a proud history of strong environmental policies. Their electricity comes almost entirely from renewable sources. Hydro is 73%, with geothermal providing most of the rest. Solar and wind are minor. Over the past decade they have reduced oil from 12% to virtually zero. Costa Rica’s […]

A Look Back At Energy Transfer

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SL Advisors Talks Markets
A Look Back At Energy Transfer



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Energy Transfer (ET) is the pipeline company most often directly owned by the financial advisors we talk to. It seems perennially cheap, and that’s in part due to their controversial history of at times treating themselves better than their other unitholders. They’ve provided plenty of material for this blogger to note how management always seems […]

Pipeline Earnings Keep Climbing

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SL Advisors Talks Markets
Pipeline Earnings Keep Climbing



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Earnings season for midstream energy infrastructure has been wonderfully devoid of excitement for many quarters. These companies just keep churning out more cash, typically within a few percent of expectations. The exception is Cheniere (CEI), where earnings often come in substantially ahead of sell-side estimates. 1Q reported EBITDA beat by 12.5%. The company spent $1.2BN […]

Discussing Energy In America’s Heartland

SL Advisors Talks Markets
SL Advisors Talks Markets
Discussing Energy In America’s Heartland



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I traveled through Indiana last week. A day and a half of meetings in and around Indianapolis were followed by a drive south for an afternoon at Churchill Downs in Kentucky. If you’re lucky enough to be invited to a Jockey Club hospitality suite, a good time is guaranteed. Tye Uppinghouse, our Catalyst Mutual Funds […]

Former BP Geologist On Energy

SL Advisors Talks Markets
SL Advisors Talks Markets
Former BP Geologist On Energy



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Last week my partner Henry Hoffman and I had the opportunity to chat with Peter Hill. Peter holds board seats or is on the advisory committee of several companies where he provides energy advice, including Edge Natural Resources, Jaguar Exploration and Citizen Energy LLC. His long career includes 22 years spent at BP in various […]

Gains From Energy

SL Advisors Talks Markets
SL Advisors Talks Markets
Gains From Energy



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Last week the WSJ published an interesting chart, reproduced below. It was in an article ominously titled America’s Economy Is No. 1. That Means Trouble. The chart shows that US share of global GDP has been increasing for over a decade. We’ve gone from 21% in 2011 to 26% this year. It’s an amazing performance. […]

Adults Are Taking Over The Energy Transition

SL Advisors Talks Markets
SL Advisors Talks Markets
Adults Are Taking Over The Energy Transition



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Progressives will maintain that the planet is on track to burn up, but realists will see an unfolding positive story. Transitioning our energy systems is incredibly expensive, slow and inflationary. JPMorgan just published research (The Energy Transition: Reality check needed) acknowledging this and calling for a reset. No big company says anything about energy without […]

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