Entries by Simon Lack

So Many Pessimists

SL Advisors Talks Markets
SL Advisors Talks Markets
So Many Pessimists



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Why are people so negative? A recent WSJ article included results to the yes/no question: “Do you feel confident that life for our children’s generation will be better than it has been for us?” 78% of respondents said no. They think the next generation will be worse off. This is the most negative reading in […]

Political Energy

SL Advisors Talks Markets
SL Advisors Talks Markets
Political Energy



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FERC recently approved a request by Williams Companies to expand its Transco natural gas pipeline in New Jersey. As is usually the case, environmental extremists have been opposing this and other enhancements to the state’s energy infrastructure even though Williams, a commercial enterprise, is presumably meeting increased demand for its services. Of the seven fossil […]

Europe’s Liberal Energy Policies Costs More

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SL Advisors Talks Markets
Europe’s Liberal Energy Policies Costs More



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I was in the UK recently where reducing emissions to zero by 2050 is now law. In spite of the conservative populism that drove Brexit, Britain is a politically liberal place from the eyes of this visitor who last lived there 41 years ago. Illegal immigration is a worldwide problem, and the British face African […]

Chip War – A Review

SL Advisors Talks Markets
SL Advisors Talks Markets
Chip War – A Review



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According to the American Automotive Policy Council, the world’s biggest auto companies can use over a thousand silicon chips in each car. This fact from Chip War: The Fight for the World’s Most Critical Technology resonated more than anything else in this fascinating book about the world’s reliance on computing power. Had I been asked […]

Always Cheaper By Sea

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SL Advisors Talks Markets
Always Cheaper By Sea



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90% Of Everything moves by ship, at least according to author Rose George in her 2013 book that’s still fascinating reading today. George traveled as a passenger on a cargo ship called the Maersk Kendal. While onboard she interviewed the captain and crew members, enabling her to present an absorbing picture of maritime freight, an […]

The World Wants More American Gas

SL Advisors Talks Markets
SL Advisors Talks Markets
The World Wants More American Gas



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First Citizens Bancshares has agreed to buy most, but not all, of Silicon Valley Bank’s (SVB) carcass from the FDIC. They’re acquiring $72BN of loans at a discount of $16.5BN. The FDIC estimates SVB’s failure will cost it around $20BN. The Deposit Insurance Fund currently sits at 128BN. It’s funded by banks, which means by […]

Time For Powell To Go

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SL Advisors Talks Markets
Time For Powell To Go



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At some point Congressional oversight of the Federal Reserve should result in a careful examination of the central bank’s error-strewn record under Chair Jay Powell. Below is a roadmap for discriminating legislators willing to conduct a critical review of the Fed’s serial mistakes.  Above the Fed’s twin mandate of seeking maximum employment with stable prices […]

The Coming Squeeze On Bank Deposit Rates

SL Advisors Talks Markets
SL Advisors Talks Markets
The Coming Squeeze On Bank Deposit Rates



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An Op-Ed in the Washington Post last week suggested that unrealized losses on fixed income investments are likely much higher than the $640BN on held to maturity MBS. It was written by Sebastian Mallaby, who wrote about hedge funds in More Money Than God and has published several other finance books. Mallaby relies on two […]

Banking Crisis Means More Inflation Risk

SL Advisors Talks Markets
SL Advisors Talks Markets
Banking Crisis Means More Inflation Risk



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Investors have reacted to the aftermath of Silicon Valley Bank’s (SVB) failure by assuming tighter credit conditions. This makes sense over the near term. The US banking system has been increasing duration risk, and while SVB was more reckless than most they were not alone. Piling into long term government bonds and mortgage-backed securities required […]

The Fed Pivots To Financial Stability

SL Advisors Talks Markets
SL Advisors Talks Markets
The Fed Pivots To Financial Stability



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Commercial banks have long benefited from depositor lethargy regarding rates. Although we now have a de facto guarantee of all commercial banking deposits, not just those up to the $250K threshold, customers are likely to pay a little more attention to return and risk, which will force banks to be more competitive. On the asset […]

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