EUROPE’S ENERGY CRISIS IS KEEPING ENERGY PRICES HIGH
America leads the world in oil and gas production. We believe midstream energy infrastructure offers predictable cash flows to investors.
Worrying Inflation Forecasts
In early April JPMorgan reacted to Liberation Day by forecasting a recession in the second half of the year. They assumed the tariffs would cause a drop in business investment. They also raised their inflation forecast. They didn’t reckon on the President’s tariff flexibility, and so dropped their recession call following the 90 day moratorium […]
The Coming Energy Backlash
New Jersey, where your blogger resides when temperatures allow, had a good story to tell on energy until recently. Power generation relies heavily on natural gas and nuclear (38% and 56% respectively in February). Residential electricity prices are 19.7 cents per Kilowatt Hour (KwH), above the US average of 16.4 cents but well below neighboring […]
Pipelines Will Get a Lift From Gas
Following Sunday night’s 90-day agreement on tariffs between the US and China, the S&P500 sailed back above its pre-Liberation Day levels. All is right with the world. Sentiment seems weaker than data, so one will correct. After Liberation Day JPMorgan called for a 2H25 recession. Following the tariff news they dropped that forecast. Fed Funds […]
Tariff Trauma Is Receding
Americans visiting Europe know that Republican presidents are generally less popular than Democrat ones, since Europe’s political center of gravity is left of ours. This is especially true of President Trump, which didn’t surprise us on a recent trip with friends to the UK and Belgium. Trade policy is largely how Europeans experience US presidential […]
Drama-Free Energy Stocks
Supplies of crude oil were already set to increase by 2.6 Million Barrels per day (MMB/D) year-on-year before the OPEC+ announcement on Monday. Demand is growing in emerging economies across Asia, Africa and South America, but not fast enough. This has led to forecasts of stocks increasing by 2 MMB/D this year. Last year we […]