The Virus Infecting MLPs
Closed end fund investors are passionate about the product. Because they generally own a portfolio of publicly traded securities, their NAV per share is easily calculated. The fixed share count means their share price can deviate from the NAV, and this attracts investors keen to buy something for less than it’s worth.
MLP closed end funds have been around for years. They’re a low-octane version of levered ETFs. If you’re good at market-timing, a skill claimed by far more than actually possess it, you can navigate the ups and downs. Leverage magnifies your exposure, and strategies with fixed leverage have to rebalance in the direction the market has moved (i.e. buy high and sell low).
We have warned investors about this before (see Lose Money Fast with Levered ETFs).
In 2015 we pointed out how the Cushing MLP Total Return Fund (SRV) had persistently destroyed value, because of leverage (see An Apocalyptic Fund Story).
MLP closed end funds use leverage. Because they are more than 25% invested in MLPs, they are non-RIC compliant and therefore their profits are subject to corporate income tax. The interest expense on their borrowings can be deducted against taxable income, thereby reducing or even offsetting the tax obligation that few holders realize exists.
But adding leverage to a single sector fund is a dumb idea. Investment grade midstream energy infrastructure companies generally operate at around 4.0X Debt:EBITDA. Non-investment grade are a little higher. The manager of a sector-specific leveraged fund is essentially rejecting this leverage as too conservative, even though such a fund has little diversification in a sharp fall in the market.
This is an expression of arrogance, that the managers of these funds have some insight superior to the collective opinion of CFOs and rating agencies. They don’t. They are just willing to gamble other people’s money that they do.
An investor pointed out to me leverage at some of these funds, from fact sheets recently published at the end of February. Goldman was running a fund with 35% leverage. Tortoise had one with 40%. YTD these funds were down 85% and 95% respectively as of 2pm today.
Given the collapse in March, these funds have all been forced sellers. As long-only investors we are down a lot. But the delevering of MLP CEFs has exacerbated the drop for everyone. Leveraged MLP closed end funds are a financial virus that is infecting the rest of the sector, by driving prices even lower. They harm all investors, but most especially the poor souls who sadly bought them. Fortunately, most of these funds are nearly dead, with little capital remaining to protect.
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Well, for a break, we can all enjoy the “Pipeline Blues” album by E Frank Murphy.
Goldman’s overleveraged MLP fund has caused chaos, likely because of margin calls. Goldman’s fund owned 5,000,000 units of CEQP and once the selling started it caused a reduction in the unit price which meant that it had to keep selling, which caused more negative cycles. The fund is probably down by 2 or 3 million CEQP units now and it may be finished with that company, but as a result CEQP units, which I bought a few weeks ago at $21 today were $3.55 when I bought some additional units.
And ENBL, which has investment grade credit metrics and is 79% owned by two major utilities for which it transports natural gas, has units trading at $1.70. Since its distribution is $1.32, the units yield 78% at their current cost.
Incompetence of Midstream CEF fund managers in 2020 is the stuff of legends. Perhaps an idea for your next book. Even as of 3/17/20, with AMZ (7.4)% and AMNA (5.6)% on the day, some of these fund NAVs were down dramatically more, suggesting they were STILL highly leveraged. For example, CEM (21)%, DSE (32)%, EMO (23)%, NTG (22)% and TYG (21)%. Can’t wait to see damage done today to those NAV.
Callers are letting these clowns off much too easy on their conference calls. As if this all just unavoidably happened to them and they had no responsibility to prepare for this eventuality.