Episode 60: Why Is Energy Sentiment So Negative?
In this week’s podcast, Simon Lack discusses popular views on energy
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By clicking the OK button below, you will be connected to a website maintained by a third party. We are providing a link to the third party’s website solely as a convenience to you, because we believe that website may provide useful content. We do not control the content on the third-party website; we do not guarantee any claims made on it; nor do we endorse the website, its sponsor, or any of the content, policies, activities, products or services offered on the website or by any advertiser on the site. We disclaim any responsibility for the website’s performance or interaction with your computer, its security and privacy policies and practices, and any consequences that may result from visiting it. The link is not intended to create an offer to sell, recommend, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or hold, any securities.
By clicking the OK button below, you will be connected to a website maintained by a third party. We are providing a link to the third party’s website solely as a convenience to you, because we believe that website may provide useful content. We do not control the content on the third-party website; we do not guarantee any claims made on it; nor do we endorse the website, its sponsor, or any of the content, policies, activities, products or services offered on the website or by any advertiser on the site. We disclaim any responsibility for the website’s performance or interaction with your computer, its security and privacy policies and practices, and any consequences that may result from visiting it. The link is not intended to create an offer to sell, recommend, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or hold, any securities.
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Without a doubt, the climate catastrophists/green new-dealers have been winning the PR war. Regarding oil/gas companies, most people simply (and ignorantly) figure “why should I invest in something that will be obsolete in 20 years?”
It appears that buybacks will have to be the primary impetus for stocks returning to higher, more appropriate prices.
So-called analysts, and financial journalists and fund managers generally fail to distinguish between crude oil and natural gas and lump them together as “energy”. Crude oil and natural gas have vastly different uses and futures. Just take a look at the industrial and other end uses for natural gas, NGLs, LPG, LNG etc. in the petrochemical analysis in the newly issued investor presentation of EPD. Look at the growth in LPG and NGL exports. Look at the replacement by gas of coal in power generation. Look at the increases in gas exports to Mexico. Similarly the analysts, financial journalists and money managers who disdain “energy” don’t distinguish between upstream and midstream operations. In short, energy sentiment is negative because those expressing the sentiment are deficient in their analysis. That makes bargains available. I’m willing to bet that the individuals quoted in your podcast have no idea that in 2021 EPD will have $1 billion on gross margin from petrochemicals or even what the end uses of NGLs are.