Entries by Simon Lack

Will Central Banks Cancel Government Debt?

The FT today has a dynamite article with the abovementioned title by Gavyn Davies, Chairman of Fulcrum Asset Management. As the title suggests, Mr. Davies speculates that the vast holdings of government debt create the possibility that central banks may forgive some of it so as to further stimulate growth. It’s a quite electrifying thought. In […]

The Carnage in Pimco's Closed End Funds

Bill Gross is by any measure financially sophisticated. Which is why it’s entertaining to watch him reconcile his undoubtedly well-honed skills at investing with his firm’s management of one of the most overpriced closed end funds around. The closed end fund sector is one of the truly inefficient sectors in financial markets. Investors routinely confuse […]

The Increasing Risk in Owning Bonds

The Fixed Income market has been a tough place to find much value for far longer than I can remember. And yet, that hasn’t stopped the returns from being nothing short of spectacular. In fact, it’s not hard to find securities that have outperformed equities, and most would agree that it’s been a surprisingly good […]

Quarterly Outlook

Quarterly Outlook September 2012 might well be regarded as the moment when the Federal Reserve committed itself unambiguously to reflation, as they came down clearly on the side of improved U.S. employment as the more important element of their twin mandate. In achieving “maximum employment and price stability,” as the Fed describes its statutory responsibility, […]

The Generational Wealth Transfer

The evolving transfer of obligations from old to young is a theme that deserves more attention. It’s a slow-moving, demographic event so isn’t something that’s likely to produce a headline. But a consequence of the enormous debt the U.S., has built up and the under-funded entitlement obligations is that the bill will be paid by […]

The Optionality in Shorting the Yen

Recently we’ve initiated a short position in Japanese Yen in our Fixed Income Strategy. Some observers have been forecasting economic catastrophe for Japan and its currency for many years based on its poor demographics and steadily worsening fiscal situation. Kyle Bass is one of the better known Japan bears, and he has written eloquently about […]

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