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EUROPE’S ENERGY CRISIS IS KEEPING ENERGY PRICES AND INFLATION HIGH

America leads the world in oil and gas production. We believe midstream energy infrastructure offers predictable cash flows to investors..


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HedgeWorld Chicago 2012

I have been invited to give the Keynote Address at this industry gathering in June. I am looking forward to the opportunity to meet with hedge fund industry professionals and discuss how investors can achieve better results than they have in the past.

Credit Suisse Promises You a Total Loss

My thanks to Hank Greenberg for revealing an example of what’s wrong with some areas of Finance. The VelocityShares Daily 2X VIX Short-Term ETN (TVIX) is an exchange-traded note issued by Credit Suisse. Its travails and those of its investors are well covered elsewhere. It’s been a bust, as befits a vehicle designed to provide leveraged exposure to movements […]

A Hedge Fund Manager Finds More to Like in Farming

Today’s story in the NY Times about Marc Cohodes recounts a poignant tale of the fall of a formerly highly regarded hedge fund manager. I wrote about Marc Cohodes in my book, The Hedge Fund Mirage. A perennial bear and manager of a short-selling hedge fund, 2008 should have been the year he made a spectacular […]

Ten More Years To Recover?

March 2022. That is the point at which, according to eurodollar futures prices, three month Libor will reach the heady yield of 4%. Ten years from now until money market yields are restored to “equilibrium” as defined by the FOMC in their rate forecast issued for their January 24-25 meeting earlier this year (reproduced below). The time to […]

Advice from the Federal Reserve – Bonds Still Aren't Cheap

Although treasury yields have risen around 30 bps over the past couple of weeks, yields have not yet reached what the Federal Reserve itself might call equilibrium. The FOMC rate forecasts that the Fed published earlier this year reveal an intriguing inconsistency between the Fed’s actions and its own market forecasts. Operation Twist and its […]